Friday, January 21, 2011

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SOFTS-ICE cocoa rises after N. American grind

  • Friday, January 21, 2011
  • Thùy Miên
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  • COCOA

    * Cocoa futures on ICE rose to an 8-1/2-month high in early

    trade on Friday as the political crisis in top grower Ivory

    Coast spurred concerns about possible supply disruptions, and

    were supported by a rise in North American grindings.

    * North American cocoa grindings rose 4.64 percent in the

    fourth quarter of 2010 from a year ago, data from the National

    Confectioners Association (NCA) showed on Thursday, coming in

    just above expectations. [ID:nN20158996]

    * ICE May cocoa CCc2 rose $23 or 0.7 percent to $3,210 a

    tonne at 0950 GMT, having earlier touched $3,240, the highest

    level for the second month contract in 8-1/2 months.

    * London's May cocoa contract LCCK1 rose 27 pounds or 1.3

    percent to 2,129 pounds per tonne in moderate volume of 1,120

    lots.

    * Tougher action, possibly including force, is the only way

    to make Ivory Coast incumbent Laurent Gbagbo step down after

    mediation failed, rival presidential claimant Alassane Ouattara

    said on Thursday. [ID:nLDE70J1YU]

    * Indonesia's cocoa output may fall by an estimated 6.5

    percent to 500,000 tonnes in the crop year Oct 2010/Sept 2011

    due to a pod-borer pest attack and a fungal disease Vascular

    Streak Dieback (VSD), the ICCO said on Friday. [ID:nL3E7CL099]

    SUGAR

    * ICE raw sugar futures were little changed in early trade

    on Friday, underpinned by tight global supplies.

    * The customs union of Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus may

    cut its import tariff for raw cane sugar to $50 from March after

    domestic beet sugar production fell because of a drought, a

    market source said on Friday. [ID:nLDE70K0A5]

    * ICE March raw sugar SBc1 was up 0.02 cent or 0.06

    percent at 31.33 cents a lb at 0952 GMT, while London March

    white sugar LSUH1 rose $11.00 or 1.4 percent to $779.30 per

    tonne.

    * New York sugar SBc1 is expected to rise to 32.09 cents,

    based on its wave pattern and a Fibonacci retracement analysis,

    according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. [ID:nL3E7CL078]

    COFFEE

    * Arabica coffee futures on ICE firmed, supported by tight

    global supplies of high-quality beans.

    * ICE March arabicas KCc1 rose 2.8 cents or 1.2 percent to

    $2.3645 per lb. The front month contract rose to its highest

    level since June 1997 last week but has remained in a range

    since, which could lead some funds to sell long positions.

    * Liffe March robusta coffee LRCH1 was up $31 or 1.5

    percent to $2,146 per tonne in volume of 1,239 lots at 0956 GMT.

    * Vietnam's 2010/2011 coffee crop harvest produced 403,600

    tonnes in the country's largest growing province of Daklak, up

    around 6 percent from a year earlier, a state-run newspaper

    reported on Friday. [ID:nHAN117374]

    * Vietnam's processing capacity for soluble coffee could

    double by late 2012 to 10,000 tonnes a year as new plants open

    to meet rising domestic consumption, according to a sector

    leader that is about to get a stock market listing.

    [ID:nHAN100895]

    * New York coffee KCc2 could rise to $2.4590, as a

    relabelling of its wave pattern indicates a final wave (5) will

    push the contract to the previous wave (3) peak, according to

    Reuters market analyst Wang Tao [ID:nL3E7CL08B].

    OTHER MARKETS

    * Asian stocks were set to post their worst weekly

    performance in nearly two months as rising inflation within the

    region increased the risks of aggressive policy action and hurt

    growth in the world's engines such as China and India.

    [MKTS/GLOB]

    * The euro rose against the dollar on Friday, nearing a

    two-month high hit earlier this week, and traders said the

    currency may see more gains in the near-term after a recent

    improvement in sentiment. [USD/]

    * Oil was on track for a weekly drop of more than 2 percent

    on Friday, trading near its lowest in 10 days, after U.S.

    inventories rose across all categories and on speculation

    monetary tightening by China would restrain demand. [O/R]

    * Stocks fell on Thursday as lacklustre tech and materials

    earnings failed to live up to heightened expectations,

    threatening to short-circuit a seven-week run. [.N]

    * European shares were set to rebound from the previous

    session's falls, with commodity stocks seen boosted by a

    recovery in metals and crude prices, though gains were expected

    to be kept in check by lingering concerns over monetary

    tightening in China. [.EU]

    (Source: http://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFLDE70K0PY20110121)

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